Expert Judgment - The Use of Expert Judgment in Humanitarian Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications

It has been said that expert judgment is “cheap, plentiful, and virtually inexhaustible”. Experts indeed can be better, faster, or cheaper than other information sources and methods. But for that to happen, committed decision-makers, competent analysts and sympathetic stakeholders are needed.

With this study on the use of expert judgment in humanitarian analysis, ACAPS explores the theory of expert judgment. The note provides methods for the elicitation of expert judgement and several case studies to illustrate its practical applicability within humanitarian contexts. The overall objective of this work is to enhance the use of expert judgment in humanitarian settings.

The summary and full note speak primarily to humanitarian analysts who oversee the production of expert judgment, but it is also instructive for decision-makers, the experts themselves and for interested stakeholders