Venezuela: What Lies Ahead after Election Clinches Maduro’s Clean Sweep

Publication language
English
Pages
35pp
Date published
21 Dec 2020
Type
Research, reports and studies
Keywords
Development & humanitarian aid, Governance, Humanitarian-development-peace nexus, Protection, human rights & security, Research, policy and analysis
Countries
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
Organisations
International Crisis Group

Following legislative elections, President Nicolás Maduro controls all of Venezuela’s major political institutions. Meanwhile, the country’s crisis deepens apace. An exit remains possible if the government and opposition adjust their zero-sum thinking to admit the need for compromise. The new U.S. administration can help.

What’s new? After years of political turmoil, elections for Venezuela’s National Assembly ended in a predictable victory for President Nicolás Maduro. Mainstream opposition parties boycotted the poll and, alongside the U.S. and Latin American and European countries, accuse the government of rigging the elections.

Why does it matter? Elimination of the opposition majority in parliament will greatly complicate efforts to resolve the standoff with the government. The boycott split the opposition, and dwindling support for its leader Juan Guaidó raises questions about who might face the government in future negotiations.

What should be done? The opposition should affirm that it backs a negotiated settlement, disavowing the government’s violent overthrow. To usher in talks, Maduro should release political prisoners and rein in the secret police, while the incoming U.S. administration should reconsider sanctions that cause humanitarian harm and seek multilateral solutions to the crisis.

Authors: 
International Crisis Group