Transition in Afghanistan: Looking Beyond 2014

This study assesses the medium to longer term impacts of declining aid and military spending on economic growth, poverty, fiscal management, service delivery and government capacity. It suggests options to Government of Afghanistan (GoA) and the international donor community to manage and mitigate the adverse impacts of transition while exploiting the opportunities to improve aid effectiveness and encourage inclusive growth. This is the beginning of the process – additional analysis from the World Bank will develop these themes further over the coming months.