Syria Crisis: Scenarios - Possible developments in Syria over the next 12 months

This document provides a description of situations that could occur over the coming year and their associated humanitarian consequences. Its aim is to support strategic planning, create awareness, and promote preparedness activities for those responding to this crisis.
Three scenarios are outlined, with a set of wildcards – unlikely events with a potentially significant impact – that were identified during workshops that ACAPS held in November with a range of humanitarian actors in Amman and Gaziantep. For more on scenario-building, see the methodology section.