Guinea: Scenarios

This document first presents a reminder of pre-crisis vulnerabilities. It then summarises the main humanitarian needs of the Ebola crisis, and describes emerging issues. Two main influencing factors (occurence/absence of electoral violence and possibility of another Ebola outbreak) were identified, enabling the building of four scenarios.

Scenarios can be used to support strategic planning for agencies and NGOs; identify assumptions underlying anticipated needs and related interventions; enhance the adaptability and design of detailed assessments; influence monitoring and surveillance systems; and create awareness, provide early warning, and promote preparedness activities among stakeholders.